Overview Paper:
Examples of Recent Studies:
Dzierma Y and H Wehrmann, 2010, Eruption time series statistically examined: Probabilities of future eruptions at Villarrica and Llaima Volcanoes, Southern Volcanic Zone, Chile, Journal of Volcanology and Geothermal Research 193 (2010) 82–92
Mendoza-Rosas, A T and S De la Cruz-Reyna, 2008,A statistical method linking geological and historical eruption time series for volcanic hazard estimations: Applications to active polygenetic volcanoes, Journal of Volcanology and Geothermal Research 176 (2008) 277–290.
Ho, C-H 1996, Volcanic time-trend analysis, Journal of Volcanology and Geothermal Research 74 (1996) 171-177
Takada, A 1997, Cyclic flank-vent and central-vent eruption patterns, Bull Volcanol (1997) 58 :539–556
Connor, C.B., McBirney, A.R., and Furlan, C., 2006. What is the probability of explosive eruption at a long-dormant volcano? In: Mader, H.M., Coles, S.G., Connor, C.B., and Connor, L.J. (eds.) Statistics in Volcanology. Special Publications of IAVCEI 1. Geological Society, London, 39-48.
Jones, G., D.K. Chester, F. Shooshtarian, 1999, Statistical analysis of the frequency of eruptions at Furnas Volcano, Sa˜o Miguel, Azores, Journal of Volcanology and Geothermal Research 92: 31–3.
Statistical Studies:
Marzocchi, W., Sandri, L., Selva, J., BET_EF: a probabilistic tool for long- and short-term eruption forecasting. Bull Volcanol 80:623-632 (2008).
Marzocchi, W., and Woo, G., Probabilistic eruption forecasting and the call for an evacuation. Geophysical Research Letters, Vol. 34, L22310, doi:10.1029/2007GL031922, 2007.
Marzocchi, W., and Woo, G., 2009, Principles of volcanic risk metrics: Theory and the case study of Mount Vesuvius and Campi Flegrei, Italy, JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH, VOL. 114, B03213, doi:10.1029/2008JB005908, 2009.
Fedde, Ingrid, 2008,Application of Probalistic Tools and Expert Elicitation for Hazard Assessment at Volcán de Colima, Mexico, MS thesis, Michigan Tech.
Aspinall W, G Woo, B Voight and PJ Baxter, 2003, Evidence based Volcanology: application to volcanic crisis, JVGR 128: 273-285.
Useful Links:
WOVO: the collection of links for the world’s volcano observatories
